Bayesian Inference

Tags:
• science
• psychology

A standard that provides rules for evaluating evidence and updating your beliefs.

Bayes Theorem as presented by Neil Kakkar

https://neilkakkar.com/Bayes-Theorem-Framework-for-Critical-Thinking.html

Research

• Edwards W, Lindman H, Savage LJ. 1963. Bayesian statistical inference for psychological research. Psychol. Rev. 70:193–242 Introduction to Bayesian inference, written for psychologists, providing normative standard for assessment of bias.
• Kyburg HE, Smokler HE, eds. 1964. Studies in Subjective Probability. New York: Wiley
• Tversky A, Kahneman D. 1983. Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: the conjunction fallacy in probability judgment. Psychol. Rev. 90:293–315
• Tversky A, Kahneman D. 1974. Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases. Science 185(4157):1124–31 Seminal article for heuristics and biases approaches to judgment and decision making.